Core ConceptRead this first — the foundation of the topic
Probability is the mathematical study of uncertainty and chance. It measures how likely an event is to occur. Think of it as a number between 0 and 1, where 0 means impossible and 1 means certain. Core Concept: Probability = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of possible outcomes. For example, when flipping a coin, probability of heads = 1/2 = 0.5.
Key RulesCore rules you must know cold
Addition Rule
P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A and B)
2
Multiplication Rule
P(A and B) = P(A) × P(B) for independent events
3
Complement Rule
P(not A) = 1 - P(A)
4
Conditional Probability
P(A|B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
Formula BlockMemorise — at least one formula appears in every paper
• Basic Probability: P(E) = n(E) / n(S)
• Combination: nCr = n! / (r! × (n-r)!)
• Permutation: nPr = n! / (n-r)!
• Expected Value: E(X) = Σ x × P(x)
Exam PatternsWhat examiners ask — read before attempting PYQs
NDA typically asks card problems, dice problems, bag and ball questions, and conditional probability. Most questions are 2-3 marks. Common formats include: 'What is the probability that...', 'Find the chance of...', 'If two events...'.
ShortcutsUse these to save 30–60 seconds per question
Card Memory Trick
Total cards = 52, Red = 26, Black = 26, Face cards = 12, Aces = 4
2
Dice Sum Shortcut
For two dice, total outcomes = 36. Sum of 7 has maximum probability (6/36 = 1/6)
3. At Least One Formula: P(at least one) = 1 - P(none)
Worked ExampleSolve this step-by-step before moving on
1
Step 1
Total balls = 5 + 3 = 8
2
Step 2
Ways to choose 2 balls from 8 = 8C2 = 28
3
Step 3
Ways to choose 2 red balls from 5 = 5C2 = 10
4
Step 4
Probability = 10/28 = 5/14
Worked Example 2: Two dice are thrown. Find probability that sum is greater than 8.
1
Step 1
Total outcomes = 6 × 6 = 36
2
Step 2
Favorable outcomes (sum > 8): Sum = 9: (3,6), (4,5), (5,4), (6,3) = 4 ways
Sum = 10: (4,6), (5,5), (6,4) = 3 ways
Sum = 11: (5,6), (6,5) = 2 ways
Sum = 12: (6,6) = 1 way
3
Step 3
Total favorable = 4 + 3 + 2 + 1 = 10
4
Step 4
Probability = 10/36 = 5/18
Most
Exam TrapsCommon mistakes students make — avoid these
(#1): Students confuse 'with replacement' and 'without replacement' problems. In without replacement, the sample space changes after each draw. Always check if items are put back or not.
This changes the denominator in subsequent calculations and can completely alter your answer.
Key Points to Remember
Probability always lies between 0 and 1 (inclusive)
Let **a** = 2**i** + 3**j** + **k** and **b** = **i** − **j** + 2**k**. The scalar projection of **a** onto **b** is:
Practice 2easy
The direction cosines of the line passing through points P(1, 2, 3) and Q(4, 5, 6) are:
Practice 3easy
If **a** and **b** are two vectors such that |**a**| = 5, |**b**| = 3, and **a** · **b** = 12, then the angle θ between them is:
Practice 4easy
The vectors **a** = **i** + 2**j** + 3**k** and **b** = 2**i** + 4**j** + 6**k** are:
Practice 5easy
The equation of the plane passing through the point (1, 2, 3) and perpendicular to the vector **n** = 2**i** − **j** + 3**k** is:
Practice 6easy
Let **a** = 2**i** + 3**j** + **k** and **b** = **i** − **j** + 2**k**. The magnitude of the vector projection of **a** onto **b** is:
Practice 7easy
If **u** = **i** + 2**j** − **k** and **v** = 3**i** − **j** + 2**k**, then the magnitude of **u** × **v** is:
Practice 8easy
Two vectors **a** and **b** satisfy |**a**| = 5, |**b**| = 3, and **a** · **b** = 12. The angle θ between them is:
Practice 9easy
The scalar triple product (**a** × **b**) · **c** for **a** = **i** + **j**, **b** = **j** + **k**, and **c** = **k** + **i** is:
Practice 10easy
Let vectors **a** = (1, 2, 3), **b** = (2, -1, 1), and **c** = (1, 1, 1). The scalar triple product [**a** **b** **c**] = **a** · (**b** × **c**) is equal to:
Practice 11easy
Two vectors **u** and **v** satisfy |**u**| = 3, |**v**| = 4, and **u** · **v** = 6. The angle θ between **u** and **v** is:
Practice 12easy
A line passes through the point P(1, 2, 3) and has direction vector **d** = (2, −1, 2). The distance from the point Q(4, 3, 5) to this line is:
Practice 13easy
Three events A, B, and C are mutually exclusive and exhaustive with P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/3, and P(C) = 1/6. If event D occurs with probability P(D|A) = 1/4, P(D|B) = 1/2, and P(D|C) = 1/3, then P(D) is:
Practice 14easy
A vector **v** makes angles α, β, and γ with the positive x, y, and z axes respectively. If cos α = 1/2 and cos β = 1/3, then cos γ is equal to:
Practice 15medium
Two vectors **a** = (1, 2, 3) and **b** = (2, −1, 1) are given. A third vector **c** is perpendicular to both **a** and **b**. If **c** · (1, 1, 1) = 5, then **c** is equal to:
Practice 16medium
Let **u** = (cos θ, sin θ, 0) and **v** = (sin θ, −cos θ, 1) be two vectors. The angle α between **u** and **v** satisfies cos α = k/√2, where k is a constant. The value of k is:
Practice 17medium
A plane passes through the point (1, 2, 3) and is perpendicular to the vector **n** = (2, −1, 2). The distance from the origin O(0, 0, 0) to this plane is:
Practice 18medium
In a random experiment, two events A and B are such that P(A) = 1/3, P(B) = 1/2, and P(A ∩ B) = 1/6. A vector **u** is defined as **u** = (P(A ∪ B), P(A' ∩ B), P(A ∩ B')), where A' and B' denote the complements of A and B. The magnitude of **u** is:
Practice 19medium
Two vectors **a** = (1, 2, 3) and **b** = (2, −1, 1) are given. A third vector **c** is perpendicular to both **a** and **b**. If **c** · (1, 1, 1) = 5, find **c**.
Practice 20medium
A line passes through the point P(1, 2, 3) and is parallel to the vector **d** = (2, −1, 2). The distance from the point Q(4, 5, 6) to this line is d_Q. Find d_Q.
18 more practice questions in the Study Panel
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