Study Material โ 5 PYQs (2021โ2021) ยท Concept Notes ยท Shortcuts
RRB NTPC Probability is a frequently tested subtopic โ 5 previous year questions from 2021โ2021 papers are included below with concept notes, key rules and shortcut tricks.
5 questions from actual RRB NTPC papers ยท all shown free ยท click option to reveal solution
Exam Q 12021Previous Year Pattern
A coin is tossed three times. What is the probability of getting at least one head?
Exam Q 22021Previous Year Pattern
A bag contains 5 red balls, 7 blue balls, and 8 green balls. If two balls are drawn simultaneously at random, what is the probability that both balls are of the same colour?
In a lottery, the probability of winning a prize is 0.12. If 500 tickets are sold, how many tickets are expected to win a prize?
Exam Q 42021Previous Year Pattern
A student has a 60% chance of passing Mathematics and a 75% chance of passing English. Assuming independence, what is the probability that the student passes at least one subject?
Exam Q 52021Previous Year Pattern
Three cards are drawn from a standard deck of 52 cards without replacement. What is the probability that all three cards are of the same suit?
Concept Notes
Probabilityโ Rules & Concept
๐ก
Core Concept
Read this first โ the foundation of the topic
โCore Concept
Probability = Favorable Outcomes / Total Possible Outcomes. The value always lies between 0 and 1. If probability is 0, the event will never happen. If it's 1, the event will definitely happen
๐Addition Rule
For mutually exclusive events A and B, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
2
๐กMultiplication Rule
For independent events A and B, P(A and B) = P(A) ร P(B)
3
โComplementary Events
P(A) + P(not A) = 1, so P(not A) = 1 - P(A)
4
โConditional Probability
P(A given B) = P(A and B) / P(B)
๐ข
Formula Block
Memorise โ at least one formula appears in every paper
โข Basic Probability = Favorable outcomes / Total outcomes
โข Probability of at least one = 1 - Probability of none
โข Odds in favor = Favorable : Unfavorable
โข Expected value = Sum of (Probability ร Value)
๐
Exam Patterns
What examiners ask โ read before attempting PYQs
โ๏ธWorked Example 1
1
Count total balls = 5 + 3 + 2 = 10
2
Count favorable outcomes (red balls) = 5
3
Apply formula = 5/10 = 1/2 = 0.5
Answer: 1/2 or 50%
Shortcut Trick #2 - Card Problems Quick Reference: Remember that a deck has 52 cards with 13 cards of each suit (hearts, diamonds, clubs, spades). Face cards are 12 in total (4 each of Jack, Queen, King)
โ๏ธWorked Example 2
1
Total possible outcomes when throwing two dice = 6 ร 6 = 36
2
Find favorable outcomes for sum = 7
(1,6), (2,5), (3,4), (4,3), (5,2), (6,1) = 6 outcomes
3
Apply formula = 6/36 = 1/6
Answer: 1/6
Shortcut Trick #3 - Dice Sum Patterns: For two dice, sum of 7 has maximum probability (6/36), while sums of 2 and 12 have minimum probability (1/36 each).
Common Mistake #1: Students often forget to consider all possible arrangements. For example, when drawing 2 balls from a bag, they count (Red, Blue) but forget (Blue, Red) as a separate case when order matters. Always check whether the problem requires considering order or not.
Another frequent error is mixing up 'with replacement' and 'without replacement' scenarios. In 'with replacement', the total number of items remains the same for each draw. In 'without replacement', the total decreases after each draw, affecting subsequent probabilities.
Key Points to Remember
Probability always lies between 0 and 1 inclusive
Basic formula: Probability = Favorable outcomes / Total outcomes
For 'at least one' problems, use complement: P(at least one) = 1 - P(none)
Standard deck has 52 cards, 13 per suit, 12 face cards total
Two dice have 36 total outcomes, sum of 7 has highest probability
Mutually exclusive events: P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B)
Independent events: P(A and B) = P(A) ร P(B)
Complementary events: P(A) + P(not A) = 1
Always check if order matters in the problem statement
With replacement vs without replacement changes denominators
Exam-Specific Tips
A standard deck contains exactly 52 cards with 4 suits of 13 cards each
Number of face cards in a deck is 12 (4 Jacks, 4 Queens, 4 Kings)
Two dice thrown together give 36 total possible outcomes
Sum of 7 with two dice can occur in exactly 6 ways
Probability of getting heads in a fair coin toss is exactly 1/2
In a standard deck, probability of drawing an ace is 4/52 = 1/13
Maximum probability value is 1, minimum probability value is 0
Number of ways to arrange n distinct objects is n! factorial
Practice MCQs
Probability โ Practice Questions
8graded MCQs ยท easy to hard ยท full solution & trap analysis
A bag contains 5 red balls, 3 blue balls, and 2 green balls. If one ball is drawn at random, what is the probability of drawing either a red or a green ball?
Practice 2easy
A number is selected at random from the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10}. What is the probability that the number is either even or a multiple of 3?
Practice 3medium
A bag contains 5 red balls, 7 blue balls, and 8 green balls. If one ball is drawn at random, what is the probability that it is either red or green?
Practice 4medium
A bag contains 5 red balls, 7 blue balls, and 8 green balls. If two balls are drawn simultaneously at random, what is the probability that both balls are of the same colour?
Practice 5hard
In a lottery, 6 numbers are drawn from 1 to 49. A player buys one ticket with 6 numbers. What is the probability that the player matches exactly 4 of the 6 drawn numbers?
Practice 6hard
A box contains 3 defective items and 12 non-defective items. If 3 items are drawn at random without replacement, what is the probability that exactly 2 items are defective?
Practice 7hard
Three unbiased coins are tossed simultaneously. Given that at least one head appears, what is the conditional probability that exactly two heads appear?
Practice 8hard
A bag contains 5 red balls, 7 blue balls, and 8 green balls. Two balls are drawn simultaneously without replacement. What is the probability that both balls are of different colours?
60-Second Revision โ Probability
Formula: Probability = Favorable outcomes / Total outcomes
Remember: Use 1 - P(none) for 'at least one' questions
Trap: Don't confuse with replacement and without replacement scenarios
Quick fact: Standard deck = 52 cards, Face cards = 12
Pattern: Two dice sum of 7 has maximum probability of 1/6
Rule: Always check if order matters in arrangement problems
Shortcut: P(not A) = 1 - P(A) for complement problems